Pages

Tuesday, June 03, 2008

FIDEL'S SECRETS

FIDEL'S SECRETS
2008-06-02.
ICCAS

As Fidel Castro fades into oblivion with little to do but post
inconsequential musings in the Cuban media, it is fair to wonder if he
might also be secretly dictating his memoirs.

If so, he could by now have produced an enormous body of autobiography
with the assistance of the doting aides and researchers presumably
around him.

Castro's plan could be for the posthumous publication of multiple
volumes of memoirs, and possibly for a dramatic announcement of such a
plan coinciding with the fiftieth anniversary of the revolution next
January. There have been no hints of anything of the sort from Havana,
but these are just the kind of surprises the infirm, immobilized Fidel,
confined now for twenty-two months, would relish.

Soviet premier Nikita Khrushchev could be a role model. His memoirs,
dictated secretly after he was deposed in 1964, and subsequently
smuggled to the West, were published in three widely-read volumes.
Initially at least, Khrushchev was motivated by the need to vindicate
himself, and like all memoirists, to put his own spin and embellishments
on the record. But despite all of their self-serving content,
Khrushchev's books were memorable because he was introspective, sharing
candid observations about himself and his relationships with Stalin and
many others, including Castro. And equally important, Khrushchev bared
sensitive secrets from KGB and communist party archives.

Castro may already have revealed all he intends to share following the
publication this year of Fidel Castro: My Life, the product, it is said,
of a hundred hours of interviews with Ignacio Ramonet, and marketed as a
"spoken autobiography.

"And furthermore, Fidel has not been known since his youth to indulge in
genuine introspection or self-examination, either publicly or privately.
He is no more likely now, as he nears the end of his life, to admit
serious errors or doubts about what he has done, including even the most
heinous of his behavior. The impervious psychological barriers he has
constructed against any probes of his real feelings and human qualities
are not likely to be lowered now.

Yet, with no remaining leadership responsibilities, and effectively
muted by his successors, Castro probably has no higher priority now than
to burnish his image by boasting of real and imagined accomplishments.
With some of his harsh economic policies already abandoned by his
brother Raul, Fidel has reason to fear that even more of his legacy will
be repudiated.

He knows that Khrushchev denounced Stalin and launched a
de-stalinization campaign in the USSR within three years of his
predecessor's death. And in China, Deng Xiaoping also waited only about
three years following Mao's death before launching his economic
liberalization program. All the more reason for Fidel to put a priority
now on getting his interpretation of his career on the public record.

And there may be another, perhaps even more compelling reason for him to
emulate Khrushchev's decision to speak into the recording machine.
Anticipating and preempting threats to his hegemony has been one of the
most consistent of Fidel's leadership qualities, beginning during his
university years. Today he knows all too well that there are many living
witnesses, in Cuba and abroad, who may feel liberated to speak and write
about him after his death. He must worry about the gruesome secrets that
could be dredged up. He knows that many of the most tantalizing of the
mysteries surrounding his sixty year career could become fair game once
he is gone.

For example, will his first wife, the long-suffering and always discreet
Mirta Diaz Balart, feel free to abandon whatever oath of silence she has
maintained all these years? Literary agents and publishers will beat a
path to her door after Fidel's death, hoping to get her into contract to
draft what could be one of the most revealing books ever written about
Castro, treating especially the years between their marriage in 1948 and
the Moncada assault five years later.

Would Rolando Cubela, the CIA's famous AMLASH recruited to assassinate
Fidel, feel he could finally reveal the truth of whatever his
relationships actually were with the Castro brothers? Was he in fact
working under the CIA's control, or was he Fidel's double agent as many
have suspected? And what grotesque tales Patricio de la Guardia, the
twin and co-conspirator of the executed Tony, could tell if he suddenly
felt free to break his silence.

There are many others with keys to the Cuban revolution's most secret
pathologies: Ramiro Valdes (twice minister of the Interior and recently
restored to the communist party politburo); the Moncada and Granma
veteran Juan Almeida; the merciless prosecutor Juan Escalona; most of
the ranking generals; the purged Carlos Aldana (one of the few to have
been as close to Fidel as he was to Raul); and so many others like him
consigned through the years to internal exile and silence.

Dalia Soto del Valle, Castro's second wife and mother of five sons with
him, could attract a huge international audience if she felt free some
day to pen memoirs of her life with Fidel since the 1960s. So many other
Cubans, in diverse walks of life, from the powerful to the servile, also
have stories to tell that Fidel wants kept secret, or which now he may
feel he must repudiate by preemption.

And finally, we historians can only hope that Cuba's official archives
may contain valuable collections that have not been systematically
purged. But if that is in fact too much to hope for -as most likely it
is-- perhaps one or more Cuban equivalents of the Russian Vasili
Mitrokhin may be lurking within Havana's nomenclatura. That modest KGB
archivist stole more than twenty-five thousand pages of sensitive
intelligence documents, secreted them at his home, and eventually got
them into the hands of British intelligence. Imagine how Fidel must
worry that a Cuban like Mitrokhin might have purloined and safely
preserved vast quantities of compromising intelligence records.

______________________________

Dr. Brian Latell, distinguished Cuba analyst and recent author of the
book, After Fidel: The Inside Story of Castro's Regime and Cuba's Next
Leader, is a Senior Research Associate at ICCAS. He has informed
American and foreign presidents, cabinet members, and legislators about
Cuba and Fidel Castro in a number of capacities. He served in the early
1990s as National Intelligence Officer for Latin America at the Central
Intelligence Agency and taught at Georgetown University for a quarter
century. Dr. Latell has written, lectured, and consulted extensively.

http://www.miscelaneasdecuba.net/web/article.asp?artID=15595

No comments: